Florida CD Special Hardens VA MedEx Foes
The Emperor Has No Clothes
–By John Fredericks
Go home, talk to folks and you’ll soften your opposition to Medicaid expansion (MedEx) when you come back on March 24.
That was the Virginia Democrats’ plan in reconvening a special General Assembly session after a two-week hiatus.
But a funny thing happened on the way to the ball.
House Republicans’ opposition to MedEx in Virginia is actually hardening.
And nothing like another electoral win to keep the wind at their backs, and to stiffen those with weaker knees.
First it was Rob Bloxom’s (R-100) blowout on the Eastern Shore, where the newly elected House of Delegates member nearly carried Norfolk by just running television ads against MedEx and never actually stepping foot in the city.
Now we have Florida CD 13.
Democrats never, ever should have lost that race.
Their candidate, Alex Sink, was a picture perfect model for the district.
Pro-business and viewed as a moderate, she ran for statewide office twice, won once and in so doing carried the 13th Congressional district both times, most recently in her 2010 run for Florida governor.
The District was trending blue.
It went for President Obama in 2008 and 2012.
She out-spent her opponent, David Jolly, a Washington D.C. lobbyist and the quintessential insider, five to one on television ads.
She ran a disciplined, nearly flawless, campaign against an average candidate who was recently divorced and was dating a woman 15 years his junior who campaigned with him.
Photographers had a field day.
There was a third party candidate, Libertarian and Tea Partier Lucas Overby, who pulled five percent.
This was insurance for Sink.
Jolly made it a one-issue campaign: his opposition to Obamacare.
Jolly won by two percent.
Bottom-line: people don’t want Obamacare.
As long as Virginia Republicans who oppose MedEx tie it to Obamacare you’ll see no groundswell of support for the plan in their districts.
There is no way House Speaker Bill Howell (R-Stafford) or his super-majority blinks on this one.
They believe they are on the right side of history.
It’s tough for your competitor to negotiate from that perspective, especially when you are winning elections in places you should lose.
THE GREAT AND POWERFUL OZ WRONG AGAIN
The emperor has no clothes.
The great and powerful Larry Sabato came down from his mountaintop over the weekend, and amidst his fawning media admirers, aptly proclaimed that CD-13 in Florida was “trending Democratic pick-up.”
The wisdom bestowed!
Oh, thank you, your highness for blessing us poor ignorant slobs down here schlepping amongst the peasantry, trying to scratch out a living, with your omnipotent punditry.
But the good news is Sabato’s college employer is my pick to win the tournament. Go Cavs.
SLATING NOT SO ANCIENT
Appearing on my radio show on Tuesday, Republican Party of Virginia Chairman Pat Mullins lambasted State Senator Frank Wagner (R-Virginia Beach) for “slating” delegates for his Second Congressional District convention at Virginia Beach’s GOP mass meeting on Monday night.
Mullins said the tactic has not been used since the mid-1980’s.
He was off by a few years.
This was shared with me by a reader who dug up an Associated Press story from April 29, 2001 that appeared in The Daily Press.
“State Sen. Randy Forbes won the Republican nomination for the 4th Congressional District seat Saturday in a raucous and bitter convention that literally became a shouting match.
Forbes won 464.7 delegate votes to 332.7 for Del. M. Kirkland Cox for the right to run in a June 19 special election for the seat left vacant by U.S. Rep. Norman Sisisky’s death last month.
Forbes ‘ victory came after a failed parliamentary bid by Cox supporters to free a major block of votes from Portsmouth’s delegation to vote as they wished. Delegates from Portsmouth and Forbes ‘ hometown of Chesapeake were constrained by “slating and instructing,” a practice that commits all of a delegation’s votes to the candidate that wins the majority.
As a result, Forbes won all 93-delegate votes from Portsmouth and 261 from Chesapeake, the largest voting bloc at the convention.
The practice is legal under GOP rules, but is regarded as a divisive tactic that often favors candidates from the most populated areas.
Cox supporters sought to have the slating and instructing overturned in Portsmouth. They said that the vote among the delegation during a mass meeting earlier this month was not done properly.”
Which leads us to the Second CD nominating convention on April 26 at Hampton University between Wagner and GOP activist Curtis Colgate.
Wagner supporters slated 32 delegates at the mass meeting in Virginia Beach that are expected to deliver over 600 votes for Wagner at the convention, virtually insuring his election.
But Colgate supporters, who control the convention by virtue of the current Chairman Gary Byler, are expected to mount a challenge to the slating process and allow all registered Virginia Beach delegates to participate, not just Wagner’s 32.
Colgate’s forces control both the rules committee and the credentialing committee.
And you thought Richmond was rough and tumble.
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On The John Fredericks Show – Friday, March 14, 2014 - LISTEN LIVE
6:40 a.m. – Candidate for GOP Newport News Chair John Bloom
7:10 a.m. – Del. John O’Bannon, M.D. (R-Henrico)
7:40 a.m. – Senate Majority Leader Dick Saslaw (D-Fairfax)
8:10 a.m. –U.S. Rep. Morgan Griffith (R-VA/9)
8:40 a.m. – U.S. Rep. Rob Wittman (R-VA/1)
9:10 a.m. Kris Weaver – Economic and Real Estate Expert
9:40 a.m. -Cindy Graves – The Cindy Graves Show – Florida
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